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Saturday 25 May 2019

What happened?

We had an amazing election result on the weekend insofar as nobody, and I mean nobody picked the result. We had the Liberals trailing in every opinion poll for the past three years, the Tony Abbott and Malcolm Turnbull show with Peter Dutton slipping in and nearly destroying the Liberal party.


The washout from the Rudd/Gillard/Rudd infighting has been largely forgotten about; however, we all know the chief protagonist was now their leader. The Liberals should have been punished at the polls for the very dysfunction that plagued the Labor party and ruined their government.

Even when John Hewson blew the 93 election against the abominable Paul Keating, the Prime Minister we apparently had to have that gave us our last recession. The result was pretty much assured well before polling day – we already knew. Strangely, Keating deposed the popular Bob Hawke that really started the whole notion of swapping PMs.

Abbott was able to win an election, he did so by an amazingly large margin, despite his poor judgement and decision-making, he should have stayed as leader. Turnbull, a more likeable guy was a disaster and never gained traction with the public.

Although I didn’t think he was as bad as Abbott, people never took to him and only managed to fall over the line at the next election. It goes to show you don’t need a popular leader to win an election so Shorten’s lack of likeability is not the real cause of this election result.

So how did this come about? Firstly, I believe the two sides have changed supporters, the Liberal party has the aspirational voter and the Labor party attracts the inner city elite. Lawyers and doctor’s wives are more likely to support Labor than a bonafide blue collar worker clutching a trade certificate.

Labor now attracts university graduates who follow a specific viewpoint such as climate change. Nobody seems worried about plastics in the ocean, this I believe is a greater threat to humanity with plastic now spotted on the seafloor at the bottom of the Mariana Trench.

Labor has to stop this big end of town envy, the Liberal party is about small business and entrepreneurship. The un-costed policies were immediately seen through by the voting public, they knew the promises didn’t add up.

Scott Morrison on the other hand promised very little, people were more inclined to believe him. The trick is to target the issues that concerns voters, don’t dictate to them but do your research and address their needs.

Blue collar workers such as tradies are the new entrepreneurs, they are mostly non-unionised and setting up as contractors. The public sector is the last bastion of union influence and that won’t change anytime soon.

I think people are sick of being dictated to by a perceived left wing media and these so called celebrities, people form their own opinions and this politically correct posturing is driving people away. Who wants to be told how they should vote, how they should think and what causes they should support.

I logged on my computer first thing in the morning, the east coast of Australia was eight hours ahead. Exit polls were still picking a Labor win – as was expected. When I got home from work, Abbott was expected to lose his seat as I expected as GetUp threw huge resources at his electorate.

Whilst they dumped Abbott, they neglected to target the marginal seats that could have got better results. This helped the Liberal party, all this infighting was the result of Abbott and Turnbull and now both of them are gone, I would expect Dutton to now pull his head in now if he had any sense.

On the Labor side, Bill Shorten may have stood down as leader but he is still looking for a front bench gig, Tanya Plibersek and Chris Bowen are both architects of this loss with some terrible policy.

Anthony Albanese, better knwn as Albo is a genuine guy who is the only guy capable of taking on the highly approachable Morrison and he stated he stated he will dump the franking credit debacle if elected leader.

With Bill Shorten still hanging around, there won’t be any change in policy or direction and they really need to bring in a whole new team and change direction. Shorten blew what most would perceive as the unlosable election and may be viewed by many as the new Billary.

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